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May in the middle: A precarious place for the UK prime minister
Two ministerial resignations and a backbench revolt weaken Theresa May as the clock ticks down on the March 2019 Brexit deadline.

Two prominent ‘Brexiteers’ -- Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson and Brexit Secretary David Davis -- resigned this week from UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s government in the wake of the compromise UK negotiating position on Brexit agreed by May’s Cabinet last Friday.

The resignations and a backbench revolt against May’s compromise, which is being seen as a ‘no-Brexit’ Brexit by hard-line Brexiteers, have laid bare the long-standing deep divide in the governing Conservative Party over the nature of post-Brexit United Kingdom.

The resignations make it more difficult for May to secure parliamentary support for her plan, but equally her critics appear unable to muster the numbers needed to oust her. Sufficient Conservative MPs worry about the instability that a leadership contest would cause – and the risk of the government falling -- to keep her in office.
Thus, the hard-line Brexiteers are – for now -- refocusing on toughening up May’s compromise.

Join Oxford Analytica’s experts to discuss how the current political turmoil has changed the prospects for Brexit and the May government with the deadline for the United Kingdom’s exit from the EU now only nine months away.

Among the questions we shall be tackling:
• Will the EU toughen its stance on its key agenda items: the Irish border, EU citizen’s rights and the ‘divorce bill’?
• Are there now alternative scenarios for the March 2019 Brexit deadline?
• Should companies and investors now consider a ‘no deal’ Brexit to be the default?
• Would May survive a leadership challenge and who might replace her?
• Would ousting May bring down the government?
• If there was a UK election ‘tomorrow’, what would be the likely outcome?

Plus whatever questions you would like to put to our panel during our Special Conference Call
on Wednesday, July 11, 15:00 UK / 10:00 EDT

Jul 11, 2018 3:00 PM in London

Webinar is over, you can not register now. If you have any questions, please contact Webinar host: Oxford Analytica Conference.