Zoom Logo

Science Update: Tropical Climatology and Hurricane Hazards - The Seasonality and Geography of Tropical Systems in the Atlantic Basin and an Early Hurricane Season Outlook, 5/13/2020 - Shared screen with speaker view
Jerry
01:03:36
Hello from Las Vegas, NV
joannhallisey
01:03:40
Hello from Quincy Massachusetts!
ABraun
01:04:06
Hi from coastal NC!
Francesca Fraioli
01:04:25
New york
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:05:31
Welcome everyone to NSTA web seminars - Science Update!
Susan
01:05:47
Hi, from northern Virginia, outside DC
Ashley Klaiss
01:05:53
Thanks Flavio!
Jeannine Proctor
01:06:02
Hello from Memphis, TN
cdlester
01:06:22
yes!
Scott Diamond
01:06:23
yes
Alexia Serafim
01:06:26
yes
Stephanie Pike
01:06:28
Yes
Jenniffer Stetler
01:06:30
yes
Savitha
01:06:31
yes
yevgeny
01:06:33
Not in Utah
ABraun
01:06:37
yes - several
Jackson Maggie
01:06:37
Absolutely, I live in florida
vickie
01:06:40
YES!!!
Sahid Letang
01:06:45
Yes
Laurel Harrison
01:06:47
Yes, used to live in Wilmington, NC - lots of hurricanes
Olivia Metheny
01:06:52
yes
Jenniffer Stetler
01:06:58
more cat 5?
Robyn Stone
01:06:58
Not here in California
Michelle Hafey
01:06:59
Yes, I live on the coast of NC.
Beth D
01:07:02
yes...my wedding was weekend of hurricane sandy
Ashley Klaiss
01:07:03
Yes, a couple in MD
Kendra Hughes
01:07:05
Yes, NC
Karen Kreuze
01:07:08
Yes. Terrible winds and rain. So terrible, dangerous and damaging.
Gillian Simcox
01:07:14
Wildfires and earthquakes in CA, but no hurricanes. :)
Sahid Letang
01:07:16
Caribbean region
wendy.davidson
01:07:18
Ivan. I live in South Alabama
lfoster
01:07:18
Yes, Hurricane Andrew
shari.templeton
01:07:36
Gloria in CT
Jenniffer Stetler
01:07:36
Hurricane Irma and Michael
Stephanie Pike
01:07:36
Hurricane Irene in VT
Heather Willhide
01:07:38
We get them up North too! Sometimes they creep up the bay and hit DC...
Jeannine Proctor
01:07:38
Alicia
Don Boonstra
01:07:39
Saw Harvey come through Texas. I left Houston but it was a Cat 1 where I was.
Shannon
01:07:49
New England...
Jodi Doster
01:07:51
Used to live in FL Gulf Coast also lived through Andrew and a few others.
atticrat
01:07:53
I grew up in Wilmington, NC and now in FL. Lived through many.
Stephanie Pike
01:07:53
Also a microburst in my back yard!
Kent T
01:07:57
I was in Newport RI in 1985
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:08:00
Thank you for participating in the poll
Samantha H
01:08:00
Lots in Eastern NC
Amanda Robin
01:08:02
Nola Katrina
Rheanne Bautista
01:08:04
Typhoon Yolanda
Jerry
01:08:05
Two hurricanes personally - one in the Pacific (Baja). 2nd in the Yucatan
ABraun
01:08:05
Wrightsville Beach - Hurricane Florence went right over my house
Elissa
01:08:07
Remember Gloria and Bob?
izzog
01:08:07
Back to back at the University of Miami in 2005 - Katrina & Wilma
Christine Royce
01:08:15
I remember Gloria
Joyce
01:08:15
As a chuild in New England, but then the after effects of Charley and Irma in FL. Joyce
Susan Niederberger
01:08:17
I live in STL and said yes b/c we often get a lot of rainfall if a hurricane lands in Louisiana or Mississippi. I think it was Irene that affected the migration pattern of monarch butterflies a few years back.
Don Boonstra
01:08:29
Also went through Irene in Annapolis.
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:08:39
WOW - lots of experiences and stories. Thank you for sharing
Andi Agussalim
01:08:41
good topic
Dannah (Dane) Schaffer
01:08:48
Hurricane Camille in 69
Susan
01:09:01
many growing up on Long Island in 1950s and 1960s!!!!
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:10:07
As a reminder, we ask that you please keep your video cameras off - thanks!
atticrat
01:10:11
Project Atmosphere in KC is one of the best weather teacher training experiences that you can get. I highly recommend it!!
Scott Diamond
01:10:18
Many growing up in New England in the 1960's and 1970's
vickie
01:11:01
Will we have access to the slides after the presentations? Lots of great info in them!
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:11:30
Slides are here: https://learningcenter.nsta.org/mylibrary/collection.aspx?id=og/61eN9cfs_E
vickie
01:11:42
Thank you! :-)
Scott Diamond
01:13:14
Why is there no southern lobe near South America
Wendy Abshire, AMS Ed Dir
01:15:34
@scott Diamond, the main reason is that their isn’t a warm ocean water pool to serve as the fuel.
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:16:46
You are listening to Chad Kauffman, CAL U Professor
Adam T
01:19:10
Chad Kauffman on twitter, @TripleVortex ?
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:20:00
Slides can be found here: https://learningcenter.nsta.org/mylibrary/collection.aspx?id=og/61eN9cfs_E
Wendy Abshire, AMS Ed Dir
01:20:21
Yes, that is Dr. Kauffman’s Twitter handle.
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:21:35
Season runs June - November
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:21:55
Aug-Sep-Oct is the peak
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:26:20
Hurricane Irma satellite image
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:28:21
Slides are here: https://learningcenter.nsta.org/mylibrary/collection.aspx?id=og/61eN9cfs_E
Joyce
01:29:34
Why are other large storms, cold or hot, being named?
Adam T
01:29:40
if they make it through all the letters of the alphabet they just start over correct?
Susan
01:30:11
Alpha, Beta.... That's what happened Katrina season!
Adrienne van den Beemt
01:30:29
so many great simulations on flash. what will happen when flash is unsupported?
Wendy Abshire, AMS Ed Dir
01:30:44
If you love all things weather, you can connect to the American Meteorological Community, and the AMS Education Community via two different social media handles. A slide later in this talk has the Education handles IG/Twitter/FB/Pinterest.
Ryan L. Phillips
01:31:15
Why isn't there a hurricane storm pattern toward South America? Too much land mass?
Wendy Abshire, AMS Ed Dir
01:32:09
Regarding the naming of storms, it is the TV media private companies that decided to name winter storms. They did so for promotion/social media tracking. NOAA and the NWS do not name winter storms.
Ashley Klaiss
01:32:44
Do you know why they started naming the winter storms?
David Dixon
01:32:57
some of the Hurricanes in the Gulf result in tornadoes in Oklahoma
Teresa Lynn
01:33:59
Living in Clearwater, Florida,
Don Boonstra
01:34:08
Ashley, Wendy commented on that in the Chat just before your question.
Ashley Klaiss
01:34:37
I see it, thanks Don
Wendy Abshire, AMS Ed Dir
01:34:57
Many educational weather animations were developed in the 1990s when Flash was THE way to create them. This was done through early online multimedia training that was done by the COMET program and the modules they made/make for the meted.ucar.edu website. The site is open to all to use and is used heavily by the education community (especially higher ed). Unfortunately, as often happens, there was funding to create the initial training (aka Flash), but there has been much less money available to update past work to update the Flash resources.
Teresa Lynn
01:36:20
Living in Clearwater, Florida, When teaching about severe weather, many of my students know more hurricanes than I do. They live in evacuation zones. Do evacuation zones change periodically?
Adrienne van den Beemt
01:38:08
Thank you Wendy- so sad for teachers and our students to not have flash after this year!
Wendy Abshire, AMS Ed Dir
01:38:17
Great question Teresa. I imagine that emergency managers are very hesitant to change evacuation zones to avoid confusion, but they may change them if new information comes to light. The best practice would be to review ones evacuation zone on an annual basis prior to the start of the Hurricane Season as a part of preparing for the season, refreshing your survival and evacuation kits.
gbtoburen
01:38:18
Why does the back side of the hurricane wall cause the most damage and have the strongest wind?
Wendy Abshire, AMS Ed Dir
01:39:28
I’m not sure how to answer your question because it can be “unclear” what one considers "
Wendy Abshire, AMS Ed Dir
01:40:35
“the back side”. It is usually the front forward quadrant that has the strongest winds because the storm winds are added to the translational winds of the system. There are many other hazards too (Chad will cover later). So what people experience as “bad” can vary over time and space with each landfalling storm.
gbtoburen
01:41:04
Thank you-
Susan
01:42:30
with the Storm Surge Unit, are they including damage as from "the" hurricane? Friends in Florida could not collect insurance because the destruction of their restaurant was due to storm surge several years ago. I'm asking if the insurance coverage is changing now that the science is more informed?
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:42:45
Technology has helped with the accuracy of forecasting of hurricanes
Jemon Mamar
01:42:51
I'm just curious, why can't meteorologists accurately forecast the weather a month in advance?
Wendy Abshire, AMS Ed Dir
01:43:51
The very short answer is “chaos theory” aka the butterfly effect. The system is quite chaotic and we don’t have enough global measurements to fully capture the beginning state and things evolve from “there”.
David Dixon
01:45:21
The weather services often show numerous prediction patchs for hurricanes. Some of them are quite different from each other. Can you talk a little about what drives the different forcast?
Wendy Abshire, AMS Ed Dir
01:46:24
Different numerical models are used that have different mathematical configurations, parameterizations, and assumptions are used. This helps capture the uncertainties and the unknowns associated with an imperfect capture of the initial conditions.
Adam T
01:48:43
Are there apps that help people understand if they are in danger of storm surge?
atticrat
01:49:40
@Susan - standard insurance does not cover damage due to storm surge or flooding. Property owners have to buy a separate Flood insurance policy. Flood damage is water damage from the ground up, storm/hurricane policies cover water damage from "above" (i.e, a tree through a roof allowing water to run into the house).
Kara Melchiorre
01:50:30
has global warming or polar warming caused an increase in hurricane frequency or intensity?
Samantha H
01:51:10
With ocean temps rising, are we seeing (or expect to see) more systems occurring outside of the typical 5-20 degree latitude range?
Wendy Abshire, AMS Ed Dir
01:51:15
Not living in a coastal zone, I’m not as up on this as I should be. For all expertise on Storm Surge forecasts I strongly recommend the NHC website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nationalsurge/ It mentions an interactive map viewer and the ability to download data. I’d start there. I also suggest one uses 3rd party apps for life threatening conditions with caution!
Wendy Abshire, AMS Ed Dir
01:53:00
Great question Samatha. Meteorologists are monitoring change in hurricane climatology closely. It is certainly possible it will change. There is already some indication that warmer oceans have created tropical system that have impacted NE S. America in the modern era which had never previously been observed. A warmer ocean is the likely cause.
Adam T
01:53:06
thanks Wendy. I'm not costal either but was curious
atticrat
01:53:25
@Adam - maps showing flood prone areas in your area may be available through your Library, city or county, or Emergency Management Office. When phone books were published the storm surge maps were actually in the front with the maps and local information
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:53:30
Slides are here: https://learningcenter.nsta.org/mylibrary/collection.aspx?id=og/61eN9cfs_E
Jeannine Proctor
01:54:28
yes
Beth D
01:55:13
NHC has a map you can print....if your in New England you can watch any news clip first part of class and they always do a Tracking the Tropics segment and your students could plot hurricane tracks for sept and October easily
lfoster
01:55:14
Thanks for the links!
Beth D
01:55:17
kids love it
Savitha
01:55:40
Thank you for the links
J A
01:55:55
wow that is great
Diana.Harris
01:56:01
thank you so much, I am interested in the AMS program
Savitha
01:56:04
The resources will help in adjusting my lessons
Jenniffer Stetler
01:56:09
link ?
Ms. Conklin
01:56:13
👏🏽👏🏽
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
01:56:18
Slides are here: https://learningcenter.nsta.org/mylibrary/collection.aspx?id=og/61eN9cfs_E
vickie
01:56:37
Thank you so much for the links to all the resources! :-)
Cassie Miller
01:57:20
Thanks for all the information.
Emine Sadıkoğlu
01:57:22
Thank You!
Nilkemanes Vazquez
01:57:54
Thank you so much
Ashley Klaiss
01:57:57
Are the courses online, in person, in the field or a combo of the above?
Savitha
01:58:13
Its comprehensive. I need to really break it down for my elementary students
stephans
01:58:15
Thank you. Great information
Dannah (Dane) Schaffer
01:58:20
Thank you Chad and Wendy!
J A
01:58:35
can you just sign up for the online courses or do you only select a small group
Chad Kauffman
01:58:38
Great to see some of our alumni in here. Thanks for participating!
Kara Melchiorre
01:58:45
can someone see my earlier question ?
Rheanne Bautista
01:58:47
Is it possible for two tropical depression to combine?
atticrat
01:59:01
This was great Chad and Wendy!
dholloway
01:59:03
There is so much information on climate change and the effects on weather, will AMS be offering a course on this?
Dannah (Dane) Schaffer
01:59:21
Chad...I was a participant in five courses, except Climate Change!
J A
01:59:45
thank you Chad
Adrienne van den Beemt
01:59:45
how would you leverage Sharknado to teach ocean and atmospheric science?
gbtoburen
01:59:52
What is the process for tornado spin-offs from hurricanes? Is it atmospheric instability?
Susan
02:00:13
Someone replied to my question about storm surge and insurance coverage. If a Storm Surge Unit was established and we know now how hurricanes cause this, can't the differentiation be applied to insurance? Do you have to have hurricane & storm surge/flood insurance?
Dhivyaa
02:00:27
I'm from Australia, so would I still have access to completing the online courses?
Laurel Harrison
02:01:04
Thank you Chad. This was a great review for me as it has been a long time since I taught a weather unit (which I greatly enjoyed). You also shared information that was new to me.
Susan
02:01:11
Wow, I guess I was really lucky to have two data streme courses free, paid for by a grant for my school district!!! The wealth of science in the courses is amazing. I feel SO much smarter!
Maxine Moore
02:01:12
How long will the resources be available?
Jemon Mamar
02:01:18
Are the courses open to non US citizens who are teaching in the US?
Ms. Conklin
02:01:34
I am from nyc- is there a cost to the courses?
Kara Melchiorre
02:02:01
has global warming or polar warming caused an increase in hurricane frequency or intensity?
GP - Marlo Hill
02:02:14
Will the chat be available for review after this webinar?
Adequate Dungeon Master
02:02:20
All of the resources have been excellent, I am also from Australia as professionals in the field what do you believe is the hardest concept about storm data that is hard for students to grasp?
gbtoburen
02:02:21
Thanks-
Maxine Moore
02:02:48
Pertaining to the question on resources a@7:57pm, specifically if one has a temporary membership.
Flavio Mendez, NSTA
02:02:52
Yes - the chat is part of the recording
Dorothea Panayotou
02:03:41
Can informal educators participate? online and field courses?
Don Boonstra
02:03:56
You can save the Chat. Click on the 3 dots to the right of the Chat window. You can save Chat to your computer.
atticrat
02:03:58
@Susan - I'm not sure how the science would apply to the insurance. For insurance coverage - I have to have a homeowners policy to cover the standard hazards, plus a wind/hail coverage that covers storm damage and a flood insurance policy to cover storm surge or canals overflowing.
GP - Marlo Hill
02:04:18
To review, was there data on the latitude lines for % of hurricanes?
Lisa McDonald
02:04:22
Thank you! Very informative.
Jenniffer Stetler
02:04:24
Great talk!
Rheanne Bautista
02:04:32
Thank you😊😊😊
Cassie Miller
02:04:34
Thanks again.
Thora Henry Letang
02:04:35
Great information. Thank you!
Ryan L. Phillips
02:04:35
Thank you!
ABraun
02:04:39
Thank you!
Jeannine Proctor
02:04:40
Thank you all!!
loriejavier
02:04:40
Thank you!! Great information!
Donnan Stoicovy
02:04:45
very interesting. Thank you!
Amy Gilbert
02:04:47
thank you
Alicia Anania
02:04:48
Thank you! Very informative!
cdlester
02:04:48
thank you
Adequate Dungeon Master
02:04:48
Thankyou Chad and Wendy
gbtoburen
02:04:49
Very informative! Thank you!
dholloway
02:04:49
Virtual clapping Bravo
vickie
02:04:50
Thank you!! :-)
Ms. Conklin
02:04:50
thank you 🙏🏽
Sheila Foley
02:04:50
thank you
Rhea Cabrera
02:04:51
thank u
Maxine Moore
02:04:51
Thank you!
Laurel Harrison
02:04:52
Thank you Chad and Wendy!
J A
02:04:53
Thank you Chad and Wendy!
Ashley Klaiss
02:04:54
Thank you! amazing webinar!
Dhivyaa
02:04:55
Thank you Chad and Wendy, very informative :)
Christine Goonan
02:04:55
Thank you!!!!
Adrienne van den Beemt
02:04:56
Thank you!
Claire
02:04:57
Great materials thank you all.
Michelle Hafey
02:04:59
Thank you, very informative!
GP - Marlo Hill
02:04:59
Thank you
anastasiajin
02:04:59
thank you
Kara Melchiorre
02:05:03
thank you!
Lina Genisa
02:05:04
great.. thank you
Marilyn Quow
02:05:05
Thank you, excellent presentation.
Roy Biñas Basa
02:05:05
THANK YOU SO MUCH!
lbeechler
02:05:06
Thank You!
Emine Sadıkoğlu
02:05:07
Continuing Education Credit (CEC) ?
Andi Agussalim
02:05:07
thanks you very usefull information
Diana.Harris
02:05:07
Thank you all so much always a learner surrounded by great teachers
Rheanne Bautista
02:05:11
Thank you Sir Chad and Mam Wendy.. Great talk👍👍👍.
Samantha H
02:05:13
Very informative, thanks so much.
Flora
02:05:14
Thanks!
Robyn Stone
02:05:15
Does AMS offer any West Coast courses?
Thora Henry Letang
02:05:19
Flavio, great hosting also. Thank you!
Shannon
02:05:19
did I miss the link?
anastasiajin
02:05:23
great talk
PAWAN KALER
02:05:29
Thank you. Very informative.
Wendy Abshire, AMS Ed Dir
02:05:33
Not CEU’s. 3 graduate credits per course.
Rhea Cabrera
02:05:41
thank u
Don Boonstra
02:05:43
Collection
Don Boonstra
02:05:44
https://learningcenter.nsta.org/mylibrary/collection.aspx?id=og/61eN9cfs_E
Adrienne van den Beemt
02:05:58
PS- I was totally serious about Sharknado- my students are obsessed! How do I take advantage of that to teach real science?
Rheanne Bautista
02:05:59
Thank you Web seminar Team
Emine Sadıkoğlu
02:06:11
This was an amazing webinar. Thank You So Much!
Shannon
02:06:19
Did I miss the survey link?